Thursday, 18 February 2021

Don't be fooled by the numbers

We ended the week with fewer cases than the week before. On 15 Feb it went as low as 2,176 cases for the day. But don't be fooled by the numbers because this is the holiday week.

The number of tests conducted was significantly lower.  For example, on 15 Feb when we had 2,176 cases, the number of tests carried out was about 24,000.  This is half the normal number of tests.

The table below shows the comparisons. 

  • The number of Covid-19 cases for the week was 17 % lower compared to that for the week before
  • The number of tests carried out for the week was 24 % lower compared to that carried out for the week before

This is the ex-President Trump famous fewer cases if there were fewer tests phenomenon.

Items

 

Week in 2021

% reduction

4 to 10 Feb

11 to 17 Feb

No of Covid-19 cases

 

24,692

20,559

     17 %

No of tests

 

381,500

388,350

    24 %


We should wait for the results for the coming week to see whether it has really come down.


Stay Safe


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PS: This blog is for me to better understand COVID 19 as this will impact my investments. If you are also into equities, follow me at i4value.asia.


Disclaimer:  I am not an epidemiologist, healthcare worker, pharmacist, or staff in the Ministry of Health, but rather is someone with a strong interest in numerical analysis.  The content is an attempt to understand what is happening in the battle against COVID 19 from a data-based perspective. The opinions expressed here are based on information extracted from readily available public sources but I do not warrant its completeness or accuracy and should not be relied on as such.



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